Estimate your risk of hospitalisation and death due to COVID-19.
COVID-19 Personal Risk Assessment
This tool will estimate your personal risks related to COVID-19 based on the data produced by the Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at the Imperial College London led by Prof. Neil Ferguson.
These are the same projections that have informed the policy of social distancing across the world.
Ferguson, N. M., et al.
Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand.
16 March 2020.
Verity, Robert, et al.
Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis.
The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2020.
Center for Disease Control.
Health, United States
Social Security Administration.
Period Life Table
Istituto Superiore di Sanità.
Characteristics of COVID-19 patients dying in Italy
. Report based on available data on March 26th, 2020.
CDC COVID-19 Response Team.
Preliminary Estimates of the Prevalence of Selected Underlying Health Conditions Among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019
. March 31, 2020.
How old are you?
The age is, by far, the most important factor determining the risk.
What is your gender?
Do you have any serious physical conditions diagnosed?
An overwhelming majority of COVID-19 fatalities have one or more pre-existing health conditions.
What condition(s) do you have?
Other serious illness